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China is all the rage for the next few weeks as the Olympics are going on. Many are calling this China's time to showcase itself to the world. I have a lot of friends and analysts who are big China bulls, believing that the next few years will see continued high growth in China, although less than...
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By Bud Conrad Chief Economist, The Casey Report - Casey Research As investors, the question we have to focus most of our attention on just now is what impact the credit crisis, the bursting housing bubble and the actions of the U.S. government will have on the economy and investment markets in the next...
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The Slow Motion Recession Revisited Inflation, Deflation and Stagflation An Update on Myanmar New York "We appear to be entering a period of serious stagflation with sharply rising expected and actual inflation combined with large downside risks to growth and employment." "I would argue...
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This week I want to share with you one of the more important tools in my arsenal for keeping up with what is going on in the world. As I've told you before, George Friedman and his team at Stratfor are my go-to guys for geopolitical intelligence. Their insights into this facet of the world are simply...
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Whip Inflation Now Where Can We Get Help on Inflation? The Patient Died Anyway Inflation in Asia and Europe There Are No Good Solutions President Nixon instated price controls on the 15 th of August, 1971. Inflation was a little over 4% at the time. Price controls manifestly did not work (resulting in...
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When Bubbles Collide Unemployment Jumps to 5.5%, On Its Way to 6% What the Tax Numbers Show What's Up With Oil? America on a Diet Montreal, a New Book, and a Wedding I remember in the summer of 2006 I would face my blank computer screen on a Friday and wonder, what I could write about? The media...
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Goldman Sachs recently forecasted that oil would be at $141 a barrel by the end of the year, and rising to $200 a barrel in the not too distant future. I have seen other forecasts calling for oil to slip significantly under $100 a barrel before starting yet another bull market. I have written for years...
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What countries are truly the have and have nots of the world? Good friend and business partner Niels Jensen of Absolute Return Partners suggests we look at the old equation in a new way? Food and energy resources may be at least part of the definition in the future. In this week's Outside the Box...
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by David Galland Casey Research- International Speculator The current "battle" in the gold market is around the $900 level, a fairly steep retrenchment from the recent highs of $1,011. Some investors, their hopes dashed that $1,000 would be quickly and decisively overrun, are seeing disaster...
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Lies, Damn Lies, and Statistics Who Is Inflating the Numbers? Honey, I Blew up the Employment Numbers A Black Swan in Food Housing Numbers Are Better Than I Wrote South Africa, Canada, and La Jolla "There are three kinds of lies: lies, damn lies, and statistics." – commonly attributed...
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Written: April 25, 2008 Dear Reader, What an interesting week! Having been a single parent for two weeks, with the kids on spring break for the second of those, I have attained a whole new level of appreciation, yes, I think that's the word, for the difficulty associated with holding down the home...
Posted to
The Room
by
David Galland
on
04-29-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Credit Crisis, Politics, Coal, Oil, Gold, China, Housing Crisis, Food Prices, Diamonds, Women, Bonds, Africa, Project Manhunt
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This week in Outside the Box we look at two brief essays which give us different perspective on the Continuing Crisis. The first is by Mohamed El-Erian, the co-chief executive and co-chief investment officer of Pimco. His book, 'When Markets Collide: Investment Strategies for the Age of Global Economic...
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Written: April 18 2008 Dear Readers, I am running quite late this sunny New England morning. But I have a good excuse: my wife has left me. Well, it's not all that dramatic... it is just that she has hived off for Europe for a ten-day gallivant with friends, leaving me in sole charge of the children...
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Written: April 11, 2008 Dear Readers, No question about it, we humans like to keep things simple. And no wonder; if the world is anything, it is chaotic. And so we look for our philosophy in un-taxing nuggets, the sort, perhaps, that might grace the back of a cereal box, be squeezed onto a bumper sticker...
Posted to
The Room
by
David Galland
on
04-14-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Economy, Inflation, Dollar, China, Housing Crisis, Biofuels, Olympics, Food Prices, World Bank, Karl Marx, Internet