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IN THIS ISSUE: Fed Leaves Interest Rates Unchanged Again But Will Inflation Really Moderate? Stocks - Stuck In A Long-Term Sideways Pattern? Bad News For Millions Of Baby Boomers A Wall Street Myth About To Be Shattered? Avoiding Big Losses Is The Key, Maybe It's Time You Join Us The Bottom Line...
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Daily Pfennig
by
Chuck Butler
on
04-28-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Australia, Currencies, Dollar, Inflation, China, Gold, Euro, European Central Bank, GDP, Deficit, U. of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index
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This week's Outside the Box is from my friends at Hoisington Management. While somewhat technical, they make the case that a slowdown in consumer spending is inevitable. This is worth taking some time and thinking about. Quoting: "This means that consumer spending increases should be approximately...
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PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Seventeenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; Sept 18, 1990 Mon day, March 3 rd , 2008: Three people yesterday told me they were sick of winter. They weren’t angry, just tired of fighting...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
03-03-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Clean Energy, ETFs, Shorting, Technical View, Green Energy, Value View, Commodities, Investing Strategies, Hedging, Alternative Energy, Soft Commodities, GDP, Inflation, US Dollar, US Economy, Charting, Personal Remarks, Keys to the Market, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend, Seven Principles, Global Investing, Plunge Protection Team, The Fed, Update On The Stock Market, Stock Market Weekly, Weekly Letter
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The Muddle Through Fed Risks to the Downside Consumers Gone Wild Leaving the Ballpark After All these Years This week the Fed offered us their forecasts for 2008-10 for the economy, inflation and employment. We will look at some of the details which I think will be of interest. Then we glance at some...
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INFLATION VIEW/FED’S INFLATION VIEW . Out of Touch! Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke told lawmakers February 14 th that “inflation expectations appear to have remained reasonably well anchored.” He says that each time he speaks and I’m totally sick of hearing it because I can’t agree. He must be...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
02-22-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: China, Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Stagflation, The Age of Turbulence, GDP, Inflation, US Economy, Keys to the Market, Economic Data, The Fed
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Global Inflation a Problem . We’ve got a growing problem with US and global inflation, no matter what our Federal Reserve Bank says. Although our Fed ignores them, or says they will go down soon, food and energy costs are rising and global, right? Thus higher inflation is a global issue. ASIA . Many...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
02-21-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: China, Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, China View, Stagflation, Gold, Soft Commodities, GDP, Inflation, US Dollar, US Economy, Keys to the Market, Economic Data, Global Investing
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Recessions Differ from Mid-Cycle Slowdowns in that that are Self-Reinforcing . A self-reinforcing downturn, which normally leads to a recession has begun, reports Lakshman Achuthan, managing director of Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI). Basically the self-reinforcing step by step downturn process...
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THE ECONOMY Monday, February 18th, 2008: Maybe I’m taking the wrong approach, updating you each Monday on the health and path of the economy. And talking about the ongoing debate about recession or not lying ahead. Maybe the best approach is to look at a couple of the classic indicators of recession...
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ECONOMIC VIEW . It’s getting harder and harder to believe any data releases by the US government. We all know inflation is way up yet the government says it isn’t. For one big reason because it ignores gasoline, heating costs and food prices. That approach came a decade or so ago and has helped the US...
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The Return of Muddle Through The dollar reaches new lows. The housing market shows no sign of a bottom. Oil almost touches $84 before backing off. Interest rates go up after the Fed cuts. So naturally the stock market keeps climbing. But then, consumer spending came in strong, employment looks like it...
Posted to
Thoughts From The Frontline
by
John Mauldin
on
09-28-2007
Filed under:
Filed under: John Mauldin, The Dollar, The Fed, China, Recession, Inflation, GDP, Chinese Yuan, Euro, Housing Bubble, Credit Crisis, Muddle Through
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The Economy Surges, Stocks Plunge - What's Up? IN THIS ISSUE: 1. Economy Surges Ahead In The 2Q? 2. Inflation - Some Good News For The Fed 3. Other Economic Reports Of Late 4. Stocks - A Correction, Or Something Worse? 5. Ignore The Shocking Financial Media Headlines Introduction This is an interesting...
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Introduction This week in Outside the Box, we take a closer look at the bond market and its underlying drivers. HMIC's Van Hoisington and Dr. Lacy Hunt anticipate lower inflationary pressures on account of faltering consumer spending and further deterioration in the housing market. Hoisington Investment...
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Introduction On Friday, I wrote my annual forecast, " The Goldilocks Recession ," on what investment themes I expect in the coming year. This week's Outside the Box will follow up on the subject with an excellent piece written by Van Hoisington and Dr. Lacy Hunt. In their fourth quarter...
Posted to
John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
01-08-2007
Filed under:
Filed under: Mortgage, Housing, Inflation, Dr. Lacy Hunt, Van Hoisington, GDP, John Mauldin, Bonds, Quarterly Reveiw, Consumer Spending, Economic Forecast