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This week we look at a short but excellent summary of the state of the current economic crisis. I always enjoy reading David Rosenberg, the North American economist of Merrill Lynch. He has a no-nonsense style that is refreshing from most mainstream economists. The reality is that things continue to...
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John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
12-01-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Housing, The Fed, GDP, Ben Bernadke, Consumer Spending, Recession, Consumer Confidence, Merrill Lynch, Barack Obama, Capex, FOMC, David Rosenberg
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Can the credit crisis get any worse? In this week's Outside the Box my London partner Niels Jensen shows that it indeed can. Banks, and mainly European banks, have large exposure to emerging market debt of all types through both sovereign, corporate and individual loans. Just as banks have had to...
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John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
11-10-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: The Fed, Credit Crisis, Hedge Funds, Recession, The Dollar, Niels Jensen, Credit Default Swaps, Deleveraging, Absolute Return Partners, Yen, Europe, European Banks, Emerging Economies, Iceland
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In This Issue: It's Too Early For A Sustained Rebound But, There Are Finally Some Signs Of Relief What Everybody Knows Is Often Wrong Another Contrary Economic Outlook Cheaper Energy: The World's Biggest "Tax" Cut This High Yield Investment Looks Good The Bottom Line This Week Mother...
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.........But First, A Word From Our Sponsor.......... The FX University Seminar Series. Learn from foreign currency experts-then invest like one. Plan on attending this enlightening one-day seminar on currency investing, hosted by the Sovereign Society. You'll mingle and learn from experts from:...
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.........But First, A Word From Our Sponsor.......... The FX University Seminar Series. Learn from foreign currency experts-then invest like one. Plan on attending this enlightening one-day seminar on currency investing, hosted by the Sovereign Society. You'll mingle and learn from experts from:...
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Daily Pfennig
by
Chuck Butler
on
10-02-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Dollar, China, Bailout, Recession, Euro, Alan Greenspan, European Central Bank, ISM Index, Interest Rates, The Fed, GDP, Debt
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September 26, 2008 Dear Readers, What a world I have returned to from my cloistered retreat at the beautiful Vivenda Miranda , scenically situated on a cliff outside of the quaint port town of Lagos, Portugal. Everything has changed. Everything is changing. The storm we have so long tried to help you...
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The Room
by
David Galland
on
09-30-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Economy, Presidential Race, Credit Crisis, Politics, Government, Gold, Ben Bernanke, Recession, The Fed, David Galland, McCain, Economic Forecast, Bailout, Henry Paulson, AIG, Ron Paul, Sara Palin, Donald Grove
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IN THIS ISSUE: The Latest $700 Billion Bailout Package What Could Go Wrong? Potentially A Lot What Could Go Right, If We're Lucky? What Would Happen To The Profits, If Any? A "Main Street" Backlash To Come? Introduction Like it or not, members of the House and Senate, with the approval...
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Forecasts & Trends
by
Gary D. Halbert
on
09-30-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Election Issues, Gary D. Halbert, The Fed, Credit Crisis, Subprime, Economic Forecast, Recession, U.S. Economy, Politics, Ben Bernanke, Depression, Bailout, Financial Crisis, Henry Paulson
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THE BIG PICTURE Written Monday, September 29th, 2008: 6:30 a.m.. What happened in Congress last Friday – House Republicans refusing to go along with the government’s rescue plan – was caused by political/economic ideology combined with Americans not wanting to bail out Wall Street....
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
09-29-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Seasonal View, US Economy, Socialism, Politics, Global Investing, The Fed, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Federal Reserve, Jim Rogers, The Principle of History, Government Intervention, The Big Picture, Recession, Stock Market Lessons, Globalization, Financial Crisis, Economic Common Sense, Spin, History, Stock Market, US Presidential Election, Capitalism, Ben Bernanke, Congress, Big Picture, Henry Paulson, Credit Crisis, Sell in May & Go Away, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, America, Culture, Government, Business, US Housing Crisis, Real Economy
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In This Issue: Many Americans Are In A Funk If Everything Is So Bad, Where's The Recession? The Fed's Rescues Come With A Price A Lending Conflict Is In The Making And A Weaker Dollar May Be On The Way DNA Checks Are Not Just For Crooks The Bottom Line This Week The bear picked himself up off...
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This week's Outside the Box will challenge a few of your base assumptions. Paul McCulley, the managing director at PIMCO, offers us a kind word for inflation and the reasons that the Fed will be on hold for a lot longer than the markets currently think. And part of that is to avoid a real recession...
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UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Written Wednesday, June 11th, 2008: 6:30 a.m. Today’s stock market has no real leadership. The Dow’s up, the Dow’s down, all day long. Yesterday it was more of the same. No real trend except for in ENERGY and GOLD , both selling off big time, sort of reversing...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-11-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Gold, Alan Greenspan, Inflation, US Dollar, The Principle of Primary Trend, The Fed, Update On The Stock Market, Daily Update, Macroeconomics, Portfolio Strategy, Federal Reserve, The Big Picture, Recession, Economic Common Sense, Stock Market, Ben Bernanke, Credit Crunch, Energy, Henry Paulson, Group of Eight, Credit Crisis, G-8
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THE BIG PICTURE Ok, here’s a Big Picture of where America and we Americans stand today. A fairly downbeat Big Picture so buckle your seatbelts. America has been on the verge of a major comeuppance for many, many years. But its been postponed and postponed. Because the US dollar is the world’s...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-09-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, ETFs, Stagflation, Gold, Alan Greenspan, Commodities, Inflation, US Dollar, US Economy, The Principle of Primary Trend, The Fed, Macroeconomics, US Treasuries, Commodity Bull Market, Historical Perspectve, Federal Reserve, Oil, Crashes, Jim Rogers, The Big Picture, Elliott Wave Principle, Recession, Agricultural Commodities, Financial Crisis, Trader Vic, Vic Sperandeo, Manufacturing, Consumer Spending, Recessions, Industrial Economy, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, Discounting Mechanism, Reflex Rally, History, Bear Market Rallies, John McCain, Democracy, Capitalism, Real Estate, Robert Reich, Ben Bernanke, Gasoline, Commodity Inflation, Hyperinflation, Congress, Recession Depression, Peter Schiff, Heating Fuel, Big Picture
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This week we will look at what will be a fairly controversial essay by good friend Michael Lewitt of HCM. In light of today's speech by Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson of the re-organization of the regulatory system in the US, Michael suggest we look at what the real problems are before we begin...
Posted to
John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
03-31-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: The Fed, Private Equity, Michael Lewitt, Hedge Funds, Subprime, Recession, The Dollar, SIV, Financial Regulation, Henry Paulson, Financial Reform
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Caroline Baum is one of my favorite financial columnists, who writes with a voice of calm reason. She writes for Bloomberg, and I encourage you to read her regularly. This week she touches on the problems in the markets and the continuing calls for government intervention. Things are coming loose in...