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  • Once a Century Day of Reckoning Starting?

    THE BIG PICTURE Ok, here’s a Big Picture of where America and we Americans stand today. A fairly downbeat Big Picture so buckle your seatbelts. America has been on the verge of a major comeuppance for many, many years. But its been postponed and postponed. Because the US dollar is the world’s...
  • 1973-1974 Redux

    The Principle of History. Knowing one’s history gives us guidelines and a basis to work from. So yesterday I began to compare the last Papa Bear market we lived through, 1973-1974, which encompassed the first really oil crisis, to today’s ongoing bear market and oil shock. I said I was printing...
  • Prechter's Views Still Germane

    THE BIG PICTURE I started reading another doom & gloom book yesterday. It’s Robert Prechter, Jr.’s 2002 CONQUER THE CRASH . I know, I know. Too much focus on the glass half full. Still I don’t want anything to sneak up on me, on us. Immediately upon starting Bob’s book, I was impressed. I mean I...
  • Wall Street's Mindset

    Hank Paulson’s APRIL FOOL’S JOKE . That’s how US Treasury Secretary Paulson’s latest plan, unveiled yesterday is being described by at least two columnists this morning. I have to chuckle as well. When I first heard about it yesterday I assumed it was another step in the government and Fed’s attempts...
  • Markets, and Fed Chairmen too, Evolve

    The Principle of Understanding History (one of my seven stock market principles). The 1930s Vs. Today . I just started reading another stock market book. This time it’s 100 YEARS OF WALL STREET (2000) by Charles R. Geisst. Turns out it’s a fast and easy read. Thank goodness because that other book on...
  • Extended Bear Markets Don't Crash

    FINISHING UP YESTERDAY’S BANK PANIC OF 1907 COMPARISON. My theme yesterday morning – that stock markets don’t crash during financial panics --was emphasized by yesterday’s price action. Pressure was again taken off the stock market by its big rally. Every time things get bad, the Fed steps in and the...
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