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TECHNICAL VIEW . Charts Say Down, Again! Yesterday, the Dow Transports , S&P 400 Midcap & S&P 600 Smallcap joined the bear market party, err, pardon my loose use of the word party. Whatever, first it was the Dow Industrials closing below their June 11 th lows last Wednesday. Then the S&P...
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UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Witten Friday, June 20th, 2008: 6:30 a.m. Looked to me like yesterday’s stock market rally was a knee-jerk reaction to China announcing it was going to raise oil prices by 17%. Crude dove on the news while stocks jumped. But if one thinks it through, is China raising...
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OIL NOW AT $130! What will be the resolution of today’s high oil prices? The best, first approach in analyzing anything is to look back at any historical parallels we can find. The two oil crises of the 1970’s pop immediately to mind. Thus I just printed out a few online histories, including...
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UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Written, Tuesday, May 20th, 2008: 6:30 a.m. Another one of those turnaround stock market days yesterday. At 2 p.m. things looked great but then stocks reversed downward and by the close there were more stocks down than up on the NYSE , 1479 vs. 1681. While numerous sectors...
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TECHNICAL VIEW . April 29th, 2008: The Dow Industrials bullishly pushed up and out of its 3-month trading range on Friday, April 18 th joining the Dow Transports to the upside. Bullish. A number of other key indices, like the Nasdaq Composite did so as well. Thus my interpretation now is that we have...
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TECHNICAL VIEW . Wednesday, April 23rd, 2008 There’s still a bit of doubt whether we’ve now broken out of the wide and volatile trading range we’ve been in every since late January to the upside. And whether it will stick. At least in my mind. My reasoning for you chart lovers out there is that since...
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THE REAL ECONOMY VS. THE PAPER ECONOMY The Real Economy . Oil at a record, rice too. Gold hitting $1000 an ounce, silver way up. Corn prices boosted by ethanol demand. Food riots in Haiti, Guatemala, Argentina and more. 24 countries dropping food import tariffs because they are seeing food shortages...
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More Bulls Surfacing on the Dow Transports . Written Wednesday am, April 2nd, 2008. Regular readers may remember last Wednesday I wrote I was bullishly impressed with the recent performance of the Dow Transports , that by breaking three downtrend lines drawn off last July’s top, this index had turned...
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Dow Transports . I Like The Way The Dow Transports Are Holding Up. After the news that Warren Buffett upped his stake in Burlington Northern, a big railroad component in the index, on January 20 th , the Dow Transports have started to steady up. Of course, the suddenly slumping oil price sure does help...