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  • Studying Similar Sharp Declines & Their Bottoms

    The Principle of Understanding History & The Principle of Technical Analysis . Written Tuesday, October 7th, 2008 OK, yesterday I heard one analyst, I believe it was Liz Ann Sounders, chief investment strategist for Charles Schwab say the recent sharp year-over-year (yoy) stock market decline is...
  • Strategy for a New Leg Down

    TECHNICAL VIEW . Written Tuesday, September 16th, 2008 A New Bear Mark et Leg Down Likely Starting! Schwartz Strategy. Right at the close yesterday, the Dow Industrials dropped sharply going from -400 points down to -500 points down, closing at 10,917.50 , below its previous bear market July 15 th closing...
  • Summer Rally Ahead?

    TECHNICAL VIEW . Summer R ally Ahead Or Not? Now is the time for all good men and women to watch the key stock market indices very closely! We have a possible bottom in place (if it is a bottom I have to believe it’s a temporary one). Yep, after basically falling out of bed for two months, from...
  • Dow 12,000 Now A Memory

    Thursday, June 26 th , 2008: Written 6:30 a.m. EST Going to find our “way to San Jose ” next week, on vacation, so I’m been auditioning books for the plane rides. One coming along is Hamish McRae’s THE WORLD IN 2020 . I previewed it and got caught up by his writing, the history...
  • Ho Hum, Another Bear Market Summer Day

    UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Witten Friday, June 20th, 2008: 6:30 a.m. Looked to me like yesterday’s stock market rally was a knee-jerk reaction to China announcing it was going to raise oil prices by 17%. Crude dove on the news while stocks jumped. But if one thinks it through, is China raising...
  • Banks Breaking Down, Again

    TECHNICAL VIEW . Banks Beginning a New Down Leg In Price? The next technical question is whether the banks are breaking down again. Into a new down leg. I see the KBW Bank Index dropped to a five year low yesterday. With many individual bank stocks in the same boat. Key Bank (KEY) just went to a new...
  • 1973-1974 Redux

    The Principle of History. Knowing one’s history gives us guidelines and a basis to work from. So yesterday I began to compare the last Papa Bear market we lived through, 1973-1974, which encompassed the first really oil crisis, to today’s ongoing bear market and oil shock. I said I was printing...
  • "It's Always Something During A Bear Market!"

    Friday, February 22nd, 2008: UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Wednesday stocks rose, yesterday they fell, giving back all of Wednesday’s gains and a bit more. Call it backing and filling as the stock market continues to calm down a little. Still the background economic news, which ultimately drives stock...
  • Rigging the Stock Market

    Under The Surface Action . February 15th, 1008. According to John Crudele who writes a regular stock market column for The New York Post , governments here and around the world are likely rigging the stock market. I refer you to his TAKING STOCK column of yesterday. In essence at the recent Group of...
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